Second-placed PSV host league leaders Ajax in the biggest game of the Eredivisie season. Ajax lead the Eredivisie with a 6-point gap over PSV, and the 36-time champions could see that lead either halve with a loss in Eindhoven or expand it to a staggering 9 points with a win.
What will the results in Eindhoven mean for Ajax's odds of winning their first title since Erik ten Hag's departure in 2022? Opta calculated the title chances of Ajax and PSV based on every possible result.
Ajax win
Ajax's 3-2 win over PSV in October was the first time they'd beaten their rivals since January 2022, when the Amsterdam side won 2-1 thanks to goals from Brian Brobbey and Noussair Mazraoui.
The Godenzonen will want to repeat these results in Eindhoven, as Opta have given Ajax a 97% chance of winning the Eredivisie with a victory in Sunday's clash.
Draw
PSV manager Peter Bosz said during Friday's press conference that a draw will not get PSV far, whereas Ajax boss Francesco Farioli says the pressure of Sunday's game is "definitely not on Ajax.
Opta confirmed Bosz's thoughts as PSV will only have a 13% chance of winning the Eredivisie with a draw in Eindhoven.
PSV win
"We are duty-bound to win. I think we should win this match in front of our own crowd. Then we will put the pressure fully on Ajax," said Bosz on Friday. PSV's huge dip in form saw them lose the top spot and fall as far as 8 points behind in just two months' time.
The time to pressurize Ajax is now for PSV. Opta gives PSV a 33.3% chance of winning the Eredivisie with a famous home win.
Road to the title
Earlier this week, Flashscore took a detailed look at both sides' remaining schedules for this season. To see each team's road to a possible title, check out our article here.
Follow PSV-Ajax with Flashscore.
